We run BTC and ETH up/down windows on prediction markets and publish every hit rate next to the price the market was charging for the same windows. When the two match, there is no edge — no matter how high the hit rate looks.
In a prediction market you are not buying right-or-wrong, you are buying a price. Winning 64% of the time while paying 64 cents to win one dollar is a break-even bet before fees — and a losing one after them.
That is why every number on this page ships with the market's own price beside it. The gap between the two is the only thing that can ever become profit.
To date not one of our BTC/ETH direction lines has cleared its preregistered profitability gate. Several have been formally judged and killed, and we publish those too. This is research progress, not a product track record, and it is not investment advice.
| line | hit rate | market | gap | settled | worst variant |
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Our AI scans global leagues and places real bets on Polymarket — autonomously, only when the signal qualifies. High conviction, not daily. Every pick hashed before kickoff. Your fill price will differ from ours. Past ≠ future.
Still in closed testing — seats are not publicly open. You may apply to the waitlist; approval is not guaranteed.
Every added follower moves the odds against us. Past a threshold, the alpha thins until no one profits — including the people already in. So the seat count is capped. Permanently. Protecting current subscribers means not adding more.